Post election Observations and some additional forecasts regarding the Chandler victory-

Now that political junkies have sobered up from the past election cycle, it is time to review our pre-election forecasts and make some additional observations going forward. First, it appears that the blog was correct in picking the outcomes of every race forecasted with the following winners in the state and local races forecasted: Rand Paul, Ben Chandler, Sannie Overly, RJ Palmer. In Bourbon County races Foley, Ransdell, and McCarty won as did Judge Dickson and Judge Kuster in the judicial races. An observation is noted however about the Chandler vs. Barr race which was perhaps closer than expected, although the blog did express a caveat in predicting a Chandler victory. Ben Chandler for good or bad has become a much more astute politician over the years and you could certainly observe that on election night when Chandler proclaimed victory with humility saying that he was “very fortunate” to have won reelection. The party for Chandler is a short lived one indeed. Where Rep. Chandler goes from here is interesting. At the outset, the blog well knows that in politics a few weeks can be an eternity and it is impossible to predict events two years out. However, if we could assume a Chandler vs. Barr rematch in two years the plot does thicken for Chandler. On the one hand the attacks made on Barr in this race didn’t work for some 49.5% of the electorate and will probably begin to tail off in effectiveness over time for some additional percentage of voters. More importantly, however, is where Chandler’s voting record goes over the next two years. The Chandler campaign did everything it could to run from Obama this year but in two years that will not work. Because Obama will almost assuredly be on the ballot with Chandler at the head of the ticket in two years, the Chandler seat begins to look very vulnerable. Indeed if this had been a presidential election year, with Obama losing by some 55-45 or worse at the head of the ticket, it is hard to see how Chandler survives. Bet is here that Chandler is going to make a distinct move to the right over the next two years, voting with the Republicans a significant amount of the time. It may be the only way he saves his seat.

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